Fake Teams

sportsfreak2744 - February 5, 2012 reply

+1

agreed. I think people really over value Ackely. I took Kipnis in dynasty 3 rounds after Ackley went, which was a steal imo

Chris Buckley - February 4, 2012 reply

+1

Agree. I’m not sure I would draft Rendon 1st right now though. He is 2-3 yr away from making an impact.

zeuspower - February 5, 2012 reply

he'll take 2 years at the most

Keeper quality?

Are these all worthy keepers ($260 payroll 5×5 league) at their price? How do you see them progressing in the next 2-3 seasons? Is this the core of an elite group?

D Ackley – $6
B Lawrie – $7
M Trout – $5
D Jennings – $3
Melky Cabrera – $5
R Romero – $3
J Masterson – $5
J Valverde – $5

Any input is appreciated!

The Shape - February 4, 2012 reply

I would

keep them all except Melky Cabrera. All are solid values with your core being Lawrie, Trout, and Jennings. I see these 3 becoming all stars in the next 3 seasons.

Strategy for new league

7 × 7 roto league – 16 teams – auction

Standard cats plus OBP & Tot Bases/QS & Hlds

Do you try to compete in all categories or punt a couple? I’m thinking of punting SB & SVs.

JKAISER - February 4, 2012 reply

I would draft

power hitters and starters as starters have plenty of value in this type of league. Ace starters should be drafted early.

I wouldn't punt any category

It would be very difficult to overcome a poor showing in SBs or SVs. So don’t do it. Never pay for SVs is true IMO because about half of opening day Closers lose their jobs because of injury or ineffectiveness. Also, the non-elite CLs tend to hurt by poor ERA/Whip and K/9. That means waiting to draft a CL at end of draft not so good. What I do is draft/auction a middle of the pack CL or 2 and then watch box scores/rumor mills to grab the new CL. A half dozen elite CLs wait in the wings plus another decent half dozen future CLs. Picking up just 2 of them by mid-May should allow you to be competitive in SVs. As HLDs are a stat in your league, perhaps you can draft such future CLs. If you punt a stat, punt HLDs by rotating non-CL RPs with hitters for Monday and Thurs offdays for your guys. Then pick up a replacement RP the next day (assuming daily roster changes allowed). As for SBs, I believe you have to draft the elite runners to be in top 3 in that stat, but you can be in top half by drafting guys like Bonifacio and others who have a high ADP. Look for players on running teams as the manager (Marlins’ Guillen as example) make a big effect on SBs.

Bama Len - February 5, 2012 reply

Most (but not all) Closers don't hurt your rate stats

A Behemoth - February 6, 2012 reply

NL only keepers

5 × 5 , $300 salary cap for 15 hitters and 10 pitchers; 11 keepers max. I’m undecided about a couple of roster spots:
2 of 5: Bourgeois $5, Helton $2, Blanks $3, C.B. Young $24, Reyes $40
2 of 3: Collmenter $1, Stauffer $4, Vogelsong $6
I have decent balance on the rest of the keeper roster; probably more speed than power.
TIA

cookierojas16 - February 4, 2012 reply

can you deal some speed

for power?

I would need to know the salaries of your other keeps before deciding if I would want to keep Reyes at $40.
I like Helton at $2 and Young at $24. Not crazy about your pitchers, but if I had to keep 2 I would keep Collmenter and Stauffer.

Robert L. Bishop - February 4, 2012 reply

Please give us your reasonable projection for Mike Stanton

Stanton

I think he can hit .270-.275 with 40 HRs and 110 RBI, with the potential to hit 45 HRs. And he might steal double digit bags too.

So you totally disagree with all the numbers that suggest that's a long shot?

assumptions

assume no growth in fly balls, HR/FB, drop in K rate…….so yes, I disagree with the analysis.

I did not assume he would not get better

In fact, I gave him tons of credit, giving him Barry Bonds like HR/FB Rate and he still doesn’t hit 40 home runs. I proved his speed was mediocre and there’s tons of evidence on K-rate vs. age. You would have to assume exponential increases in talent level for him to be that good. I think you need to re-read the article.

take a look at what

Bautista did in his early years vs now….I think you are underselling him at a very young age.

So now you're comparing him to someone who totally overhauled his swing?

That doesn’t make any sense. Did Stanton change his swing to start hitting more fly balls?

he can't?

Can we not say that about any player though?

Why doesn’t Hanley change his swing to hit more fly balls? “What if” gets you no where.

Not to mention more fly balls will hurt his average

+1

Agree w ray. Those numbers look accurate as what we’ve can/should do.

zeuspower - February 5, 2012 reply

AL only keepers

5 × 5 $260
Are these players worth keeping?
Michael Young $24
Ben Revere $6

Yes

I would keep them both at those prices.

How many can you keep? who are you keeping?

I was unsure of Young at $24

Because of his Multi position. I’d thought he might be a good keeper.
We can keep $130.
Other keepers include
Avila $6
Gordon $13
A.Cabrera $15
Morrorw $18
Span $7
Nova $7
Francouer $6
Walden $6
Valverde $24

Morrow

I would definitely throw him back at $18. He should come cheaper in the draft.

Morrow

I’m a Jays fan ;) and hoping he’ll have a breakout year…….
I know I shouldn’t but…..

I would not

and if you really like him, you can get him cheaper in the draft. The worst that can happen is you pay $18 again, which i doubt.

OK

Appreciate your feedback!!!
Love your site!! Keep up the good work!!

thanks

Can you please rank Derek Holland, Jordan Zimmermann, Brandon Beachy?

John Black - February 4, 2012 via mobile reply

tough

I would go Zimmermann, Holland and Beachy.

trade advice

in a dynasty keeper league, would you trade rasmus and moustakas for prince fielder. i’m looking long term

Fielder

I would take the Fielder side in that deal

I was offered Stephen Drew for my Zack Cozart

Should I take it? 5X5 Roto Keeper League.

John Black - February 4, 2012 via mobile reply

right now

I would keep Cozart, as we don’t know if Drew will be healthy on Opening Day.

Lucas Duda seems like a popular "sleeper" pick on many sites

However, I think he might become overvalued and drafted too early. He had a great 2nd half I think he can post 25+ homers with a solid batting avg. Kid has massive power as his avg distance for homers was 2nd only to Mike Stanton.

Will Lucas Duda get everyday at bats though? He is brutal defensively.

John Black - February 4, 2012 via mobile reply

yes

from Mets.com:

More importantly, Collins said at the Winter Meetings in December that while the idea of batting Murphy first intrigues him, in an ideal world, he would prefer to slot the infielder’s gap power lower in the lineup. So expect Torres to bat first and Murphy second, with the slight potential for Murphy to bump up a spot.

From there, the lineup card unfolds in a straightforward manner. David Wright third. Ike Davis fourth. Jason Bay fifth. Lucas Duda sixth. Josh Thole and Ruben Tejada seventh and eighth, or perhaps eighth and seventh.

Rebuilding team with an offer...

Trade offer just came in (reminder 5×5 $260 mixed league)…

Bryce Harper $1
Austin Jackson $6
for
CC $44
Melky Cabrera $5

This would put me in the draft $224 in cap room and the following base:

D Ackley – $6
B Lawrie – $7
M Trout – $5
D Jennings – $3
B Harper – $1
A Jackson – $6
R Romero – $3
J Masterson – $5
J Valverde – $5

Verlander and Kershaw will be available in the draft to replace CC and I have money to spare… what do you think of this deal? When does Harper become an impact player and is he worth this price?

The Shape - February 4, 2012 reply

ACCEPT!!!!!!!!

now.

Harper

is a steal at $1…..he will be an impact player by 2013-2014.

Agree

How long can you keep Harper?

zeuspower - February 5, 2012 reply

Thanks!

I appreciate the feedback. I pulled the trigger last night. I have him for $1 for the first two years of his contract (this will be his second year). I can then extend him going into the third season (next year) for $5 per year of extension. I was thinking a 2 year extension which would make him an $11 player through the 2015 season. Thoughts?

The Shape - February 5, 2012 reply

Max Scherzer or Josh Beckett?

They kind of had opposite years of what I expected for them in 2011. Who do you like most in 2012?

John Black - February 4, 2012 via mobile reply

Beckett

Keeper Question

I can keep 6. Two have to meet rookie qualifications as set by our league. I’ll denote these with *.

Prince Fielder
Justin Upton
Carlos Gonzalez
Tommy Hanson
Asdrubal Cabrera
Yovani Gallardo
Ian Kennedy
Brandon Beachy*
Brett Lawrie*
Matt Moore*
Bryce Harper*

15-team 5×5...I won last year with Harper on my bench throughout, so I am tempted to do it again. Who else should I keep? I may end up keeping 3 rookies…

AstroZee - February 4, 2012 reply

wow

you need to deal one of Moore or Lawrie if you can’t keep all 3.

I would keep Fielder, Upton, Cargo and Cabrera or Gallardo.

if you can keep all 3 of Moore, Lawrie and Harper, I would keep them + Fielder, Cargo and Upton.

Indeed

I can keep as many rookies as I want. Just 2 minimum. I was leaning toward the same. Thanks

AstroZee - February 4, 2012 reply

bogaerts

is he the heir apparent at short? When does he come up?

3B

many prospect experts project him to move to 3b eventually, but I am sure the Red Sox will keep him at SS as long as possible.

sano

can he stay at third or will he move to left or first

Sano

He is already a big guy, so I assume an outfield or first base spot is in his future.

eric thames

is he worth taking a chance on or does snider have the inside track

Thames

I think Thames has the inside track right now.

Who to keep? Who to keep?

Howdy Ray.

Which of these bats has the best career: Josh Sale, Cesar Puello, or Ryan Kalish?

Which of these hurlers has the best career: Matt Purke, Randall Delgado, or Brent Cecil?

Much thanks!

Fanthead - February 4, 2012 reply

not easy

as Sale did not perform well in rookie ball and Puello, while he has plenty of tools, needs to work on the plate discipline.
Kalish is closer for sure….but I might take a chance on Puello based on his tools.

I would keep Delgado out of the 3 starters

prospects in MWL

i live close to beloit. i think sano will be playing there. who else do you know of that will be in the midwest league?

I'm thinking of finding a league and just draft first- and second-year players.

Just to see what would happen. Who would be your top ten?

extavernmouse - February 5, 2012 reply

this would require more than

a quick answer here…..maybe it is a topic for a strategy article. Will work on this for later this week.

Thanks, Ray

I’ll look forward to it!

extavernmouse - February 5, 2012 reply

How long of a contract would you put these players on:

Mike Adams 4m(Holds, SVs, ERA, K’s, WHIP)
Wilson Ramos 4.25m
Brett Cecil 4m

I have one 5 year, two 3 years, and three 1 year deals.

It is a 170m league. THANKS!

thedub - February 5, 2012 reply

Ramos

would be the guy I would give the long term contract to out of those 3.
Adams is older and relief pitchers can be volatile, so I would not give him a long term deal.
Ramos-5 yr
Adams-1 yr
Cecil-1 yr

What are your thoughts on Ben Revere for the next 3-5 years?

You think he can steal 40-50 a year over that time span? I was proposed a deal for him and I am not sure if I am paying for a one-trick pony or not. (A. Jones-1 yr only for Revere-3 yrs)
Thanks!

Big Wolt - February 5, 2012 reply

Revere

I can see that. The Twins will struggle to score runs, so Revere should see plenty of green lights, if he can get on base.

Help bring home the trophy...

18-team, keeper (we keep 22 of 25), and have 15-member farm team. Came in second last year and want to know what I can do take this team to the championship. Also, considering cutting guys with asterix for upcoming milb draft in our league. Anything you can see that I need to change, trade, draft…?

Keepers
C- Soto
1B- Hosmer
2B- Zobrist
SS- Tulo
3B- Wright
LF- Tabata
CF- Gardner
RF- Cruz
UTIL- Hart
UTIL- Morneau
SP- Weaver
SP- Latos
SP- A. Sanchez
SP- D. Hudson
SP- J.de la Rosa
SP- B. McCarthy
SP- Braden
RP- Putz
RP- Storen
RP- D. Hernandez
RP- R.Brothers

Farm:
Taillon
Lamb
Oliver
C.Martinez
A.White (still under IP limit)
Z.Lee
Hak Ju Lee
Arenado
D’Arnaud
B.Jackson
B.Hamilton
O.Taveras
B.Eibner*
J.Sale*
D.Vettleson*

Joe Pytleski - February 5, 2012 reply

if you are going for it

why not try to deal Arenado in a package for a stud power hitter?

Who do I keep?

I can keep 8 from list below:
Alex Gordon, Josh Hamilton. Mauer, Konerko, Lawrie, M Morse, Pedroia, HanRam, aramis Ramirez, Utley, David Wright, Axford, Gio Gonzalez, Morrow, Sabathia, and Verlander. I won league last year. It is 20 team, 21 stats, elimination league that ends up with 8 teams. There are 2 Cs, 2 INF (no CI or MI), 1 Util, only 2 SP and 4 P slots. 162 games and 2000 innings limit (means streaming SPs especially in 2nd half works well). Thanks.

Bama Len - February 5, 2012 reply

keeps

Gordon
Hamilton
Lawrie
Pedrioa
HanRam
Wright
Verlander
Sabathia

tough to drop some of these guys, but those are the 8 I would keep.

Ellsbury in H2H

My 10 team H2H 6X6 (OPS and holds) just dropped to 8 teams. My keepers are:

Carlos Santana
Joey Votto
Robinson Cano
Evan Longoria
Hanley Ramirez
Matt Holliday
Justin Upton
Mike Stanton
CC Sabathia
Zack Greinke

I’m thinking that Ellsbury will be around by my 1st pick (I have the 5th and 7th picks of the 1st round, no 2nd round picks). I wasn’t planning on going after steals since it’s just one category, but Ellsbury is enticing. Should I go with him or would I be better off with a Haren, Pineda, Shields, Wilson, Hanson, Bumgarner etc. tier pitcher?

schuth - February 5, 2012 reply

Ellsbury

can you get him and one of the pitchers? I would try to do get both.

Pitching

I have Chris Carpenter & Matt Garza at equal price in an NL-only league. I am looking to trade one. Who should I keep & who should I shop?

Wilbury - February 5, 2012 reply

Carp

He pitched a lot of innings last year, including the playoffs, but there is a chance Garza is traded, and it could be to the AL, so I would keep Carp.